The State of the ... “Art"

• Standish Group (350 co’s 8000pjs)

  • 31% Cancelled
    • $81bn wasted
  • 53% cost 189% of estimate
    • $59bn spent on overrun
  • 222% average duration
  • 9% on time, on budget (large)
  • 16% on time, on budget (smaller co’s)

• Gartner Group

  • Many won’t make it in time

• Morgan Stanley (apr97)

  • 53% in pre-conversion work
  • 25% of work is in Client/Server
  • Time / People the largest problem

• Brooks: No Silver Bullet

  • Complexity
  • Lack of Conformity
  • Changeability
  • Invisibility

• Meta Group

  • 0.4 - 12 defects /KLOC
  • 200K IT job openings in US
  • 33% US effort on maintenance

• Systems Publishers (end ‘96)

  • 21% systems older than 10 yrs
  • 59% no team focussed on Y2K
  • Evidence of denial

Previous slide

Next slide

Back to first slide

View graphic version